There is a long way to go before investors feel comfortable getting behind securities backed by NPLs, despite regulators’ efforts, writes David Brooke
Italian bank UniCredit made a significant step towards disposing of its non-performing loans last December when it signed an agreement to transfer a total of €17.7 billion of toxic loans backed by a mix of assets into two securitisation vehicles, managed by PIMCO and Fortress Investment Group.
Tackling European NPLs, including the mountain of real estate-related debt clogging up balance sheets, is a key priority for the European Central Bank.The use of securitisation as a tool for shifting NPLs o balance sheets is viewed as a long-term component of the plan.
Under the European Commission’s Capital Markets Union plan, securitisation has a key role in improving liquidity across the continent. It is possible that a thriving securities market may encourage the sale of NPLs and squeeze out some of the distressed investors that specialise in purchasing these assets. Many market commentators have observed that, while the opportunities are there, especially in Italy, the process has been too slow.
Some are not convinced that this will change soon, possibly hampering the emergence of a market for securitised NPL books. “If the enforcement framework in Italy changed hugely so that it became very efficient in terms of enforcing loans or working out solutions with borrowers, then I can see a good reason for securitisation,” says Partha Pal, a partner at law rm Ropes & Gray.
“But I can’t see that happening anytime soon. The framework would have to be so vastly improved. An investor unfamiliar with Italy buying this paper will have to think there is no problem with enforcement. It’s the private equity players, however, that understand the complexity and have the necessary internal infrastructure and sophistication necessary to navigate the enforcement process.”
The Italian government has instituted a series of reforms to improve foreclosure procedures and introduced the Garanzia Cartolarizzazione Sofferenze (GACS) scheme. However, it has struggled to gain traction, with many investors not pricing in the reforms, although this is beginning to change.The structure places the assets into an SPV, with proceeds paid out in securities split into senior and junior tranches. GACS provides a guarantee of the senior tranche, giving reassurance to investors by improving the creditworthiness of the debt.
These moves are a step forward, but a major obstacle for investors is the lack of data pro- vided by sellers, creating wide bid-ask spreads, although banks are taking steps to rectify this.
Ilaria Farina, a research analyst at Fitch, says: “Banks are investing a lot of time into digitalising their paper records, which has helped Italian banks start to sell o their assets through securitisation. Some banks have hired advisors and auditors to translate the files electronically.That will help buyers understand the portfolio and help speed up the process of selling the assets.
“There has been a lot of interest in Italian assets and assets in other jurisdictions. Securitisation is one way banks can dispose of their assets. Some banks have decided to cluster the non-performing assets into homogeneous sub-pools so they can market them to specialised investors. Others have externalised the management of their portfolios using third-party servicers.”
A recent study by the ECB described the NPL situation as a “market failure” and published proposals outlining how national governments can play an active role in getting the market in motion.
The report, Resolving Non-Performing Loans: A Role for Securitisation and Other Financial Structures?, recommends the implementation of a junior guarantee scheme and a forward protection scheme as a way of inviting more investors into the securitisation market (see right).
As the authors state: “Appropriately structured co-investment instruments where the state co-invests at market conditions with NPL investors may incentivise states to implement necessary structural reforms and, through this explicit signalling effect, may also partially address wide bid-ask spreads.”
Whether securitisation serves as the long- term silver bullet to the problem remains unclear.The role of distressed funds, however, has helped to alleviate the issue for the time being and the model for bilateral transactions has pushed NPLs into the hands of experienced firms with the necessary infrastructure to work out such assets.
The revival of the securitisation market is seen to be complimentary to the bilateral transaction approach, but if the former begins to win favour with a wider group of institutional investors then opportunities for distressed funds to allocate capital may narrow.